Insights
Research and articles from the Distill team, exploring simulations, energy markets, and more.

The Distribution is the Edge
Nine tenths of the profit comes from accounting for uncertainty, not from the forecast being right.

Emergent Coordination of Coding Agents
Enabling cross-agent communication via harness hooks

Trade the Distribution
An end-to-end flow from fundamentals to trades

The Future Isn’t One Price, It’s a Distribution
What 6,000 ERCOT scenarios say about load growth, renewable energy, and the flexibility that shaves the peak

The Perfect-Information Gap
Why every backtest trails perfect hindsight, and how to make the gap smaller, priceable, and hedgeable

Anatomy of a Backtest
How Distill validates the foundation behind every forecast

A Primer on Optimal Power Flow
An example-driven tutorial on price formation and uncertainty in energy markets

Merit Order Explorer Explainer
A new tool from Distill Labs making the merit order transparent

Probabilistic Forecasting
How understanding uncertainty can increase profits and manage risk
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